Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 51.824141 59.144979 66.731389 75.148995 84.197016 93.601529 104.086621
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 41.626289 52.087981 63.513086 76.788028 91.664042 107.705622 126.198370
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 34.127856 46.007345 59.525937 75.781654 94.545307 115.293664 139.744948
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 28.429981 41.122247 56.123554 74.716171 96.724235 121.569290 151.371041
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 24.518034 37.844070 54.140792 74.874868 99.941607 128.722978 163.739099
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 21.333644 35.081573 52.449142 75.084075 102.970745 135.468104 175.490005
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 18.870868 32.970598 51.332090 75.789868 106.429461 142.596606 187.603848
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 16.141353 30.186598 49.096656 74.874701 107.731582 147.026366 196.438790
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 14.565206 28.859701 48.645202 76.123933 111.628985 154.523227 208.894536
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 13.295596 27.842413 48.506275 77.697299 115.878143 162.420085 221.828948
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 11.433722 25.708487 46.657759 76.873171 116.975978 166.380583 229.960779
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 9.487898 23.198125 44.084426 74.910110 116.475905 168.263491 235.486551
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 9.031456 23.151290 45.108709 77.917291 122.527178 178.434236 251.327125
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 8.320462 22.582545 45.308738 79.755480 127.042055 186.699199 264.871348
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.026149 20.790577 43.526452 78.701917 127.642446 189.960616 272.185090
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.886971 19.113916 41.794023 77.614321 128.116623 193.004889 279.191118
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 5.121560 18.058682 40.967268 77.776341 130.238831 198.138367 288.806228
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.451199 17.092994 40.213143 77.990617 132.396508 203.299571 298.454637
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.934535 16.379771 39.825336 78.713232 135.233571 209.337221 309.220823
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.237995 15.106981 38.388223 77.776229 135.708837 212.254740 316.004475
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.913233 14.689467 38.410818 79.055245 139.285637 219.253076 328.013851
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.658545 14.409066 38.654525 80.665860 143.331894 226.883517 340.857927
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.158297 13.330339 37.368819 79.822257 143.846929 229.806997 347.644030